Key Takeaways
- Edge of Fate pre-orders are nearly half that of The Final Shape, based on emblem tracking.
- Player engagement is dropping, with daily concurrents falling from 316K to under 22K on Steam.
- Content rumors about Kepler lacking core activities could be impacting fan enthusiasm.
A fan-led analysis of Destiny 2 pre-order trends has revealed that the upcoming Edge of Fate expansion is trailing far behind The Final Shape in early sales — by nearly 50%. This insight comes from Reddit user “Testifye,” who used emblem-based tracking data from Warmind.io to estimate purchase patterns.
Emblem Data Shows Significant Drop in Pre-Orders
According to the analysis, only players who pre-order Edge of Fate receive the exclusive External Sights emblem. By tracking the number of players who have this emblem, the fan was able to estimate total pre-orders. As of now, Edge of Fate is down 47% compared to The Final Shape during the same time frame.
If the current trajectory continues, Edge of Fate is expected to sell just 1.12 million copies, falling short of The Final Shape’s 2.11 million. The data should be interpreted as comparative, not definitive, as Bungie has yet to release official figures.
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Player Base Drops Sharply After The Final Shape
These lower pre-orders coincide with a marked decline in active players. After reaching an all-time peak of 316,750 concurrent players on Steam during The Final Shape launch, Destiny 2 has since dipped to around 21,948 daily concurrents. This steep drop underscores growing concerns about franchise fatigue and content pacing.
Rumors Stir Concerns About Content in Edge of Fate
Speculation is also swirling regarding the quality and scope of Edge of Fate. According to leakers, the new destination — Kepler — may be the first Destiny 2 location without Lost Sectors, a Strike, or a Destination Activity. If true, this could further dampen excitement among core players who expect robust endgame content with each expansion.
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